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Grocery Outlet Holding Corp.

$9.91 ▲ +0.24 (+2.48%) at close

10 Visible periods

32 Metrics

Peer-ranked Benchmarks

Price Chart

Health

Poor

Bearish

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Analytical Summary

Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. faces fundamental challenges with weakness in Profit Margin (%) and Operating Margin (%). The fundamentals warrant careful consideration of downside risks.

Market Cap $971.0M

Dividend Yield —

Revenue Growth 7.3% ↘

Op. Margin -4.7% ↘

ROIC -13.6% ↘

FCF / Share $0.24 ↗

Trailing P/E —

Price / Book 1.0x

FCF Yield 2.5%

Debt / Equity 0.50

info Valuation on last close. End-of-day price, Aug 7, 2026.

10-Year Financial Trajectory

Annual

Metric Value Trend Year over Year Percentile

Revenue Total top-line sales

$4.69B

↑ +7.3% —

Net Income Profit after all expenses

$-224.91M

↓ -669.9% —

Operating Margin Operating profit as % of sales

-4.7%

↓ -363.9% 20th

FCF / Share Free cash flow per share

$0.24

↑ +132.1% —

Long-Term Debt Long-term obligations

$492.90M

↑ +3.2% —

trending_up

Bullish Indicators

No bullish signals detected.

warning

Bearish Risks

Operating Margin (%)Operating Margin (%) is in the bottom quartile
Profit Margin (%)Profit Margin (%) is in the bottom quartile

Health Breakdown

Profitability ↓

Returns

Financial Health ↑

Cash Quality

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📈 Is growth accelerating? 7 metrics

Metric	FY 2025 Jan 3, 2026 10-K ↗	FY 2024 Dec 28, 2024 10-K ↗	FY 2023 Dec 30, 2023 10-K ↗	FY 2022 Dec 31, 2022 10-K ↗	FY 2021 Jan 1, 2022 10-K ↗	FY 2020 Jan 2, 2021 10-K ↗	FY 2019 Dec 28, 2019 10-K ↗	FY 2018 Dec 29, 2018 10-K ↗	FY 2017 Dec 30, 2017 10-K ↗	FY 2016 Dec 31, 2016 10-K ↗
Revenue Growth YoY (%)	7.3% Fair ↓ Fair Declining Year-over-year change in total revenue Optimal: > 10% vs Sector: Above avg (+81%)	10.1% Good ↑ Good Improving Year-over-year change in total revenue Optimal: > 10% vs Sector: Above avg (+153%)	10.9% Good ↓ Good Declining Year-over-year change in total revenue Optimal: > 10% vs Sector: Above avg (+173%)	16.2% Good ↑ Good Improving Year-over-year change in total revenue Optimal: > 10% vs Sector: Above avg (+305%)	-1.8% Weak ↓ Weak Declining Year-over-year change in total revenue Optimal: > 10% vs Sector: Below avg (-144%)	22.5% Excellent ↑ Excellent Improving Year-over-year change in total revenue Optimal: > 10% vs Sector: Above avg (+462%)	11.9% Good Good Year-over-year change in total revenue Optimal: > 10% vs Sector: Above avg (+197%)	10.2% Good Good Year-over-year change in total revenue Optimal: > 10% vs Sector: Above avg (+156%)	—	—
EPS Growth YoY (%)	N/M	-50.0% Weak ↓ Weak Declining Year-over-year change in earnings per share Optimal: > 10%	19.4% Good ↓ Good Declining Year-over-year change in earnings per share Optimal: > 10%	3.1% Caution ↓ Caution Declining Year-over-year change in earnings per share Optimal: > 10%	-44.0% Weak ↓ Weak Declining Year-over-year change in earnings per share Optimal: > 10%	480.0% Excellent ↑ Excellent Improving Year-over-year change in earnings per share Optimal: > 10%	-16.7% Weak Weak Year-over-year change in earnings per share Optimal: > 10%	-20.0% Weak Weak Year-over-year change in earnings per share Optimal: > 10%	—	—
Net Income Growth YoY (%)	N/M	-50.3% Weak ↓ Weak Declining Year-over-year change in net income	22.1% Good ↓ Good Declining Year-over-year change in net income	4.4% Caution ↓ Caution Declining Year-over-year change in net income	-41.6% Weak ↓ Weak Declining Year-over-year change in net income	592.1% Excellent ↑ Excellent Improving Year-over-year change in net income	-2.8% Weak Weak Year-over-year change in net income	-23.0% Weak Weak Year-over-year change in net income	—	—
FCF Growth YoY (%)	N/M	N/M	139.6% Excellent ↑ Excellent Improving Year-over-year change in free cash flow	28.9% Excellent ↑ Excellent Improving Year-over-year change in free cash flow	-28.1% Weak ↓ Weak Declining Year-over-year change in free cash flow	36.0% Excellent ↓ Excellent Declining Year-over-year change in free cash flow	-24.8% Weak Weak Year-over-year change in free cash flow	200.0% Excellent Excellent Year-over-year change in free cash flow	—	—
Revenue CAGR 3Y (%)	9.4% Fair ↓ Fair Declining Compound annual revenue growth over 3 years	12.4% Good ↑ Good Improving Compound annual revenue growth over 3 years	8.2% Fair ↓ Fair Declining Compound annual revenue growth over 3 years	11.8% Good ↓ Good Declining Compound annual revenue growth over 3 years	10.4% Good Good Compound annual revenue growth over 3 years	14.7% Good Good Compound annual revenue growth over 3 years	—	—	—	—
Revenue CAGR 5Y (%)	8.4% Good ↓ Good Declining Compound annual revenue growth over 5 years	11.3% Good → Good Stable Compound annual revenue growth over 5 years	11.7% Good Good Compound annual revenue growth over 5 years	11.5% Good Good Compound annual revenue growth over 5 years	—	—	—	—	—	—
EPS CAGR 3Y (%)	—	-14.9% Weak ↓ Weak Declining Compound annual EPS growth over 3 years	-11.6% Weak ↓ Weak Declining Compound annual EPS growth over 3 years	49.6% Excellent → Excellent Stable Compound annual EPS growth over 3 years	39.4% Excellent Excellent Compound annual EPS growth over 3 years	57.0% Excellent Excellent Compound annual EPS growth over 3 years	—	—	—	—

💰 Are margins durable? 5 metrics

Metric	FY 2025 Jan 3, 2026 10-K ↗	FY 2024 Dec 28, 2024 10-K ↗	FY 2023 Dec 30, 2023 10-K ↗	FY 2022 Dec 31, 2022 10-K ↗	FY 2021 Jan 1, 2022 10-K ↗	FY 2020 Jan 2, 2021 10-K ↗	FY 2019 Dec 28, 2019 10-K ↗	FY 2018 Dec 29, 2018 10-K ↗	FY 2017 Dec 30, 2017 10-K ↗	FY 2016 Dec 31, 2016 10-K ↗
Operating Margin (%) (%)	-4.7% Weak ↓ Weak Declining Operating income as a percentage of revenue Optimal: > 15% vs Sector: Below avg (-132%)	1.8% Weak ↓ Weak Declining Operating income as a percentage of revenue Optimal: > 15% vs Sector: Below avg (-88%)	3.2% Weak ↑ Weak Improving Operating income as a percentage of revenue Optimal: > 15% vs Sector: Below avg (-79%)	2.7% Weak ↓ Weak Declining Operating income as a percentage of revenue Optimal: > 15% vs Sector: Below avg (-82%)	2.9% Weak ↓ Weak Declining Operating income as a percentage of revenue Optimal: > 15% vs Sector: Below avg (-81%)	3.4% Weak → Weak Stable Operating income as a percentage of revenue Optimal: > 15% vs Sector: Below avg (-77%)	2.7% Weak ↓ Weak Declining Operating income as a percentage of revenue Optimal: > 15% vs Sector: Below avg (-82%)	3.6% Weak Weak Operating income as a percentage of revenue Optimal: > 15% vs Sector: Below avg (-76%)	3.7% Weak Weak Operating income as a percentage of revenue Optimal: > 15% vs Sector: Below avg (-75%)	—
Effective Tax Rate (%) (%)	9.7% Excellent ↓ Excellent Declining Actual taxes paid relative to pre-tax income Optimal: 15-25%	29.7% Caution ↑ Caution Improving Actual taxes paid relative to pre-tax income Optimal: 15-25%	23.7% Fair ↑ Fair Improving Actual taxes paid relative to pre-tax income Optimal: 15-25%	14.1% Excellent ↑ Excellent Improving Actual taxes paid relative to pre-tax income Optimal: 15-25%	19.6% Good ↑ Good Improving Actual taxes paid relative to pre-tax income Optimal: 15-25%	-22.5% Excellent ↓ Excellent Declining Actual taxes paid relative to pre-tax income Optimal: 15-25%	8.1% Excellent ↓ Excellent Declining Actual taxes paid relative to pre-tax income Optimal: 15-25%	27.4% Caution Caution Actual taxes paid relative to pre-tax income Optimal: 15-25%	20.1% Good Good Actual taxes paid relative to pre-tax income Optimal: 15-25%	—
Profit Margin (%) (%)	-4.8% Weak ↓ Weak Declining Net income as a percentage of revenue Optimal: > 15% vs Sector: Below avg (-148%)	0.9% Weak ↓ Weak Declining Net income as a percentage of revenue Optimal: > 15% vs Sector: Below avg (-91%)	2.0% Weak ↓ Weak Declining Net income as a percentage of revenue Optimal: > 15% vs Sector: Below avg (-80%)	1.8% Weak ↓ Weak Declining Net income as a percentage of revenue Optimal: > 15% vs Sector: Below avg (-82%)	2.0% Weak ↑ Weak Improving Net income as a percentage of revenue Optimal: > 15% vs Sector: Below avg (-80%)	3.4% Weak ↑ Weak Improving Net income as a percentage of revenue Optimal: > 15% vs Sector: Below avg (-66%)	0.6% Weak ↓ Weak Declining Net income as a percentage of revenue Optimal: > 15% vs Sector: Below avg (-94%)	0.7% Weak Weak Net income as a percentage of revenue Optimal: > 15% vs Sector: Below avg (-93%)	1.0% Weak Weak Net income as a percentage of revenue Optimal: > 15% vs Sector: Below avg (-90%)	—
FCF Margin (%) (%)	0.5% Weak ↓ Weak Declining Free cash flow as a percentage of revenue Optimal: > 10%	-1.7% Weak ↓ Weak Declining Free cash flow as a percentage of revenue Optimal: > 10%	3.4% Weak ↑ Weak Improving Free cash flow as a percentage of revenue Optimal: > 10%	1.5% Weak → Weak Stable Free cash flow as a percentage of revenue Optimal: > 10%	1.4% Weak ↓ Weak Declining Free cash flow as a percentage of revenue Optimal: > 10%	1.8% Weak ↑ Weak Improving Free cash flow as a percentage of revenue Optimal: > 10%	1.4% Weak ↑ Weak Improving Free cash flow as a percentage of revenue Optimal: > 10%	1.8% Weak Weak Free cash flow as a percentage of revenue Optimal: > 10%	0.7% Weak Weak Free cash flow as a percentage of revenue Optimal: > 10%	—
FCF / Net Income (x)	-0.11x Weak ↓ Weak Declining Free cash flow relative to reported net income Optimal: > 1x	-1.89x Weak ↓ Weak Declining Free cash flow relative to reported net income Optimal: > 1x	1.69x Excellent ↑ Excellent Improving Free cash flow relative to reported net income Optimal: > 1x	0.85x Caution ↓ Caution Declining Free cash flow relative to reported net income Optimal: > 1x	0.68x Weak ↓ Weak Declining Free cash flow relative to reported net income Optimal: > 1x	0.53x Weak ↓ Weak Declining Free cash flow relative to reported net income Optimal: > 1x	2.31x Excellent ↑ Excellent Improving Free cash flow relative to reported net income Optimal: > 1x	2.59x Excellent Excellent Free cash flow relative to reported net income Optimal: > 1x	0.66x Weak Weak Free cash flow relative to reported net income Optimal: > 1x	—

🎯 Is capital allocation efficient? 3 metrics

Metric	FY 2025 Jan 3, 2026 10-K ↗	FY 2024 Dec 28, 2024 10-K ↗	FY 2023 Dec 30, 2023 10-K ↗	FY 2022 Dec 31, 2022 10-K ↗	FY 2021 Jan 1, 2022 10-K ↗	FY 2020 Jan 2, 2021 10-K ↗	FY 2019 Dec 28, 2019 10-K ↗	FY 2018 Dec 29, 2018 10-K ↗	FY 2017 Dec 30, 2017 10-K ↗	FY 2016 Dec 31, 2016 10-K ↗
Return on Invested Capital (%)	-13.6% Weak ↓ Weak Declining Return earned on debt + equity capital invested Optimal: > 10%	3.3% Weak ↓ Weak Declining Return earned on debt + equity capital invested Optimal: > 10%	6.3% Caution → Caution Stable Return earned on debt + equity capital invested Optimal: > 10%	5.5% Caution ↓ Caution Declining Return earned on debt + equity capital invested Optimal: > 10%	4.9% Caution ↓ Caution Declining Return earned on debt + equity capital invested Optimal: > 10%	9.5% Fair ↓ Fair Declining Return earned on debt + equity capital invested Optimal: > 10%	8.4% Fair ↓ Fair Declining Return earned on debt + equity capital invested Optimal: > 10%	20.0% Excellent Excellent Return earned on debt + equity capital invested Optimal: > 10%	14.4% Good Good Return earned on debt + equity capital invested Optimal: > 10%	—
Return on Capital (%) (%)	-7.2% Weak ↓ Weak Declining Operating profit relative to total assets Optimal: > 10%	2.5% Weak ↓ Weak Declining Operating profit relative to total assets Optimal: > 10%	4.2% Caution ↑ Caution Improving Operating profit relative to total assets Optimal: > 10%	3.4% Weak → Weak Stable Operating profit relative to total assets Optimal: > 10%	3.3% Weak ↓ Weak Declining Operating profit relative to total assets Optimal: > 10%	4.3% Caution ↓ Caution Declining Operating profit relative to total assets Optimal: > 10%	3.1% Weak Weak Operating profit relative to total assets Optimal: > 10%	6.0% Caution Caution Operating profit relative to total assets Optimal: > 10%	—	—
Return on Common Equity (%) (%)	-22.9% Weak ↓ Weak Declining Profit generated per dollar of shareholder equity Optimal: > 15% vs Sector: Below avg (-191%)	3.3% Weak ↓ Weak Declining Profit generated per dollar of shareholder equity Optimal: > 15% vs Sector: Below avg (-87%)	6.5% Caution ↓ Caution Declining Profit generated per dollar of shareholder equity Optimal: > 15% vs Sector: Below avg (-74%)	5.9% Caution ↓ Caution Declining Profit generated per dollar of shareholder equity Optimal: > 15% vs Sector: Below avg (-77%)	6.2% Caution → Caution Stable Profit generated per dollar of shareholder equity Optimal: > 15% vs Sector: Below avg (-75%)	11.6% Fair ↑ Fair Improving Profit generated per dollar of shareholder equity Optimal: > 15% vs Sector: Below avg (-54%)	2.1% Weak ↓ Weak Declining Profit generated per dollar of shareholder equity Optimal: > 15% vs Sector: Below avg (-92%)	5.3% Caution Caution Profit generated per dollar of shareholder equity Optimal: > 15% vs Sector: Below avg (-79%)	4.8% Weak Weak Profit generated per dollar of shareholder equity Optimal: > 15% vs Sector: Below avg (-81%)	—

⚖️ Is the balance sheet risky? 4 metrics

Metric	FY 2025 Jan 3, 2026 10-K ↗	FY 2024 Dec 28, 2024 10-K ↗	FY 2023 Dec 30, 2023 10-K ↗	FY 2022 Dec 31, 2022 10-K ↗	FY 2021 Jan 1, 2022 10-K ↗	FY 2020 Jan 2, 2021 10-K ↗	FY 2019 Dec 28, 2019 10-K ↗	FY 2018 Dec 29, 2018 10-K ↗	FY 2017 Dec 30, 2017 10-K ↗	FY 2016 Dec 31, 2016 10-K ↗
Debt to Equity (x)	0.50x Good ↑ Good Improving Total debt relative to shareholder equity Optimal: < 0.6x vs Sector: Below avg (-28%)	0.40x Good ↑ Good Improving Total debt relative to shareholder equity Optimal: < 0.6x vs Sector: Below avg (-43%)	0.24x Excellent ↓ Excellent Declining Total debt relative to shareholder equity Optimal: < 0.6x vs Sector: Below avg (-66%)	0.34x Good ↓ Good Declining Total debt relative to shareholder equity Optimal: < 0.6x vs Sector: Below avg (-51%)	0.46x Good Good Total debt relative to shareholder equity Optimal: < 0.6x vs Sector: Below avg (-35%)	0.50x Good Good Total debt relative to shareholder equity Optimal: < 0.6x vs Sector: Below avg (-29%)	—	—	—	—
Interest Coverage (x)	-6.77x Weak ↓ Weak Declining Operating income divided by interest expense Optimal: > 5x	2.99x Caution ↓ Caution Declining Operating income divided by interest expense Optimal: > 5x	5.54x Good → Good Stable Operating income divided by interest expense Optimal: > 5x	4.96x Fair ↑ Fair Improving Operating income divided by interest expense Optimal: > 5x	6.10x Good ↑ Good Improving Operating income divided by interest expense Optimal: > 5x	5.29x Good ↑ Good Improving Operating income divided by interest expense Optimal: > 5x	1.38x Weak ↓ Weak Declining Operating income divided by interest expense Optimal: > 5x	1.74x Caution Caution Operating income divided by interest expense Optimal: > 5x	1.68x Caution Caution Operating income divided by interest expense Optimal: > 5x	—
Net Debt (USD)	$423.30M	$414.67M	$177.75M	$276.92M	$319.92M	$354.67M	$-28.10M	$-21.06M	—	—
Debt / EBITDA (x)	-4.32x Excellent ↓ Excellent Declining Debt relative to earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation Optimal: < 2x	2.56x Fair ↑ Fair Improving Debt relative to earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation Optimal: < 2x	1.37x Good ↓ Good Declining Debt relative to earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation Optimal: < 2x	2.29x Fair ↓ Fair Declining Debt relative to earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation Optimal: < 2x	3.02x Caution Caution Debt relative to earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation Optimal: < 2x	2.91x Fair Fair Debt relative to earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation Optimal: < 2x	—	—	—	—

📊 What does each share earn? 6 metrics

Metric	FY 2025 Jan 3, 2026 10-K ↗	FY 2024 Dec 28, 2024 10-K ↗	FY 2023 Dec 30, 2023 10-K ↗	FY 2022 Dec 31, 2022 10-K ↗	FY 2021 Jan 1, 2022 10-K ↗	FY 2020 Jan 2, 2021 10-K ↗	FY 2019 Dec 28, 2019 10-K ↗	FY 2018 Dec 29, 2018 10-K ↗	FY 2017 Dec 30, 2017 10-K ↗	FY 2016 Dec 31, 2016 10-K ↗
Revenue per Share (USD)	$47.85	$44.29	$40.21	$36.96	$32.17	$34.14	$32.38	$33.41	$30.42	—
Basic EPS, GAAP (USD)	$-2.30	$0.40	$0.80	$0.67	$0.65	$1.16	$0.20	$0.24	$0.30	—
Free Cash Flow per Share (USD)	$0.24	$-0.76	$1.36	$0.57	$0.44	$0.61	$0.45	$0.60	$0.20	—
Book Value per Share (USD)	$10.02	$12.31	$12.29	$11.37	$10.50	$9.72	$8.37	$4.38	$6.26	—
Tangible Book Value per Share (USD)	$2.77	$3.45	$3.96	$3.05	$2.18	$1.33	$-0.57	$-7.55	$6.26	—
Basic Weighted Avg Shares (shares)	97.98M	98.71M	98.71M	96.81M	95.72M	91.82M	79.04M	68.47M	68.23M	—

🏦 How resilient is the balance sheet? 3 metrics

Metric	FY 2025 Jan 3, 2026 10-K ↗	FY 2024 Dec 28, 2024 10-K ↗	FY 2023 Dec 30, 2023 10-K ↗	FY 2022 Dec 31, 2022 10-K ↗	FY 2021 Jan 1, 2022 10-K ↗	FY 2020 Jan 2, 2021 10-K ↗	FY 2019 Dec 28, 2019 10-K ↗	FY 2018 Dec 29, 2018 10-K ↗	FY 2017 Dec 30, 2017 10-K ↗	FY 2016 Dec 31, 2016 10-K ↗
Working Capital (USD)	$133.64M	$154.27M	$132.59M	$186.84M	$204.84M	$149.31M	$62.20M	$89.45M	—	—
LT Debt (USD)	$492.90M	$477.50M	$292.73M	$379.65M	$460.00M	$460.00M	—	—	—	—
Total Equity (USD)	$983.66M	$1.20B	$1.22B	$1.11B	$1.01B	$922.31M	$745.38M	$299.95M	$427.13M	$406.35M

📋 What is driving earnings? 4 metrics

Metric	FY 2025 Jan 3, 2026 10-K ↗	FY 2024 Dec 28, 2024 10-K ↗	FY 2023 Dec 30, 2023 10-K ↗	FY 2022 Dec 31, 2022 10-K ↗	FY 2021 Jan 1, 2022 10-K ↗	FY 2020 Jan 2, 2021 10-K ↗	FY 2019 Dec 28, 2019 10-K ↗	FY 2018 Dec 29, 2018 10-K ↗	FY 2017 Dec 30, 2017 10-K ↗	FY 2016 Dec 31, 2016 10-K ↗
Sales/Revenue/Turnover (USD)	$4.69B	$4.37B	$3.97B	$3.58B	$3.08B	$3.13B	$2.56B	$2.29B	$2.08B	—
Depreciation Expense (USD)	$107.61M	$108.21M	$87.98M	$70.45M	$63.44M	$50.75M	$42.91M	$37.05M	$31.81M	—
Net Income, GAAP (USD)	$-224.91M	$39.47M	$79.44M	$65.05M	$62.31M	$106.71M	$15.42M	$15.87M	$20.60M	—
Operating Cash Flow (USD)	$222.13M	$111.96M	$303.45M	$185.51M	$165.59M	$181.24M	$132.84M	$105.81M	$84.70M	—

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bar_chart Data from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings

Synced 1 week ago 10 years · 35 quarters

Grocery Outlet Holding Corp.

Analytical Summary

10-Year Financial Trajectory

Bullish Indicators

Bearish Risks

Health Breakdown

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